IIDGROW

Invesco Dynamic Growth Index

Rising to the challenge of ever-changing markets

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Dynamic Multi-Factor

Stock exposure adjusts to the current economic regime by selecting companies with qualities suited for potential outperformance, while maintaining diversification across these varying market environments

Responsive Bond Exposure

Strategically allocates between long-term bonds and cash to adapt to changing market conditions

Adaptive Asset Allocation

Exposures to stocks, bonds, and cash adjusted daily seeking to deliver a smoother performance profile for the Index over time

About Invesco Dynamic Growth Index

Stock market exposure built from a dynamic multi-factor approach. Bond exposure that responds to changes in market conditions. Daily, adaptive allocations seek to mitigate wild swings in the market. All delivered in a single, comprehensive package.

How it works

Dynamic Multi-Factor

Dynamic multi-factor strategy seeks to take advantage of changing market environments using a disciplined approach to determine the current economic regime and then increase exposure to factors that tend to be rewarded in that climate while decreasing exposure to those that do not, in order to seek to deliver better returns than generic stock market exposure:

We have identified four key macroeconomic regimes that help to put the current rate of economic growth into context. In the Recovery regime, economic growth is below trend and accelerating. While in Expansion, growth is above trend and accelerating. In Slowdown, growth is above trend, but decelerating. And in Contraction, growth is below trend and decelerating.  Our research shows that the contribution from stocks with particular characteristics varies with each of the four key macroeconomic regimes. For instance, in the Recovery regime, companies of smaller Size and more attractive Value tend to perform better than those with high Momentum, lower Volatility, or strong Quality. In the Expansion regime, small Size, Value, and Momentum tend to be rewarded. While in Slowdown, Low Volatility and Quality are often stronger. And in Contraction, Momentum, Low Volatility and Quality are typically in the lead.  Disclosure: Indexes are unmanaged and it is not possible to invest directly in an index. Exposure to an asset class or trading strategy represented by an index is only available through investable instruments (if any) based on that index. Invesco Indexing LLC does not issue, sponsor, endorse, market, offer, review or otherwise express any opinion regarding any fund, derivative or other security, financial product or trading strategy that is based on, linked to or seeks to track the performance of any Invesco Indexing LLC index.

Uses a rules-based approach that assigns securities a score for each investment style: Value, Momentum, Quality, Low Volatility and Size. Security weights are then tilted in a rules-based manner based on the factors most relevant to the current economic regime.

Responsive Bond Exposure

In addition to multi-factor equity, the Invesco Dynamic Growth Index also provides exposure to bonds when conditions warrant as an additional and complementary source of returns. Beneficially, bonds – and, in particular, US Treasury bonds – quite often experience less dramatic swings in returns relative to stocks.1

In most market environments, bond exposure in the Index comes from exposure to 10-year Treasury bonds, which, historically, have delivered stronger returns than cash.2

However, a drop in price coupled with higher volatility in 10-year Treasuries often signals a rise in interest rates. When this happens, the Index allocates a portion of the bond exposure away from 10-year Treasuries and into cash, potentially offering more price stability under these conditions. The goal is to provide more defensive exposure and help cushion the impact of declining bond prices.

Adaptive Asset Allocation

Exposure to stocks, bonds, and cash are adjusted daily seeking to deliver a smoother performance profile for the Invesco Dynamic Growth Index over time. 

For instance, when the riskiness of stock holdings rises, the Index will shift away from stocks and into bonds, into cash or into a combination of bonds and cash.

On the other hand, as the riskiness of stock holdings decreases, the Index will shift away from bonds or cash and into stocks.

Additionally, as the riskiness of the combined allocation of stocks and bonds rises and falls, the Index allocates more and less, respectively, to cash.

In periods of high volatility, it may be possible for the index to be comprised heavily or fully of bonds and / or cash, which may persist as volatility is elevated.  Due to excess return index construction, cash allocations in the index are non-remunerated.

Why Factors Work

The centerpiece of the Invesco Dynamic Growth Index is a dynamic multi-factor approach. Value, Momentum, Quality, Low Volatility and Size are stock characteristics, or factors, shown by academics and practitioners to deliver more attractive returns historically than the broad market:3

Value

Investment Rationale:
Attractively priced stocks tend to outperform those that are expensive

Factor Metrics: Cash flow, earnings and sales multiples

Momentum

Investment Rationale:
Trends in recent company stock performance tend to continue

Factor Metrics:
Recent stock performance

Quality

Investment Rationale:
Well-run companies in a position of financial strength tend to be rewarded

Factor Metrics:
Profitability, leverage ratio

Low Volatility

Investment Rationale:

Investor biases often lead them to overpay for attention-grabbing stocks with lottery-like payoffs as compared to low-volatility stocks

Factor Metrics:
Recent stock performance

Size

Investment Rationale:
Small companies tend to perform better than larger companies

Factor Metrics:
Market capitalization

  1. For the 10-year period December 31, 2011, to December 31, 2021, the annualized volatilities of the S&P 500 Index and Merrill Lynch 10-Year U.S. Treasury Futures Index were 13.1% and 4.2%, respectively. Over the same time period, the correlation between these two indexes was -32.6%. Correlation is a statistic that measures the degree to which two sets of data move in relation to each other. A correlation of +100% means as one set of data moves, either up or down, the other set moves exactly the same, and in the same direction. A correlation of -100% means that the data move in exactly opposite directions.
  2. For example, the annualized returns from December 31, 2002, to December 31, 2021, for the Merrill Lynch 10-Year U.S. Treasury Futures Index and Federal Funds Effective Rate Index are 3.51% and 0.90%, respectively
  3. Sloan, R. 1996. Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings? The Accounting Review 71 (July): 289-315. Ikenberry, D., J. Lakonishok, and T. Vermaelen. Market underreaction to open market share repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics 39 (1995): 181-208. Novy-Marx, R. The other side of value: the gross profitability premium. Journal of Financial Economics 108 (2013): 1-28. Narasimhan J., S. Titman. Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance Vol. 48, No. 1. (1993): 65-91. Malcolm, B., B. Bradley, and J. Wurgler. Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly. Financial Analysts Journal Volume 67 (2011): 1-15. Rosenberg B., K. Reid, and R. Lanstein. Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency. Journal of Portfolio Management 11.3 (1985): 9-16. Basu S. Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Journal of Finance Volume 32, No. 3. (1977) 663-682.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Diversification/Asset allocation cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns and does not assure a profit or protect against loss. Factor investing is an investment strategy in which securities are chosen based on certain characteristics and attributes that may explain differences in returns. Factor investing represents an alternative and selection index based methodology that seeks to outperform a benchmark or reduce portfolio risk, both in active or passive vehicles. There can be no assurance that performance will be enhanced or risk will be reduced for strategies that seek to provide exposure to certain factors. Exposure to such investment factors may detract from performance in some market environments, perhaps for extended periods. Factor investing may underperform cap-weighted benchmarks and increase portfolio risk. There is no assurance that the index discussed in this material will achieve their investment objectives. Holding cash or cash equivalents may negatively affect performance.

Although bonds generally present less short-term risk and volatility than stocks, the bond market is volatile and investing in bonds involves interest rate risk; as interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. Bonds also entail issuer and counterparty credit risk, and the risk of default. Additionally, bonds generally involve greater inflation risk than stocks.

This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy or product for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Invesco Indexing LLC is an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd. The group is legally, technologically and physically separate from other business units of Invesco, including the various global investment centers. NA2107793